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SARS-CoV-2: Basic Reproductive Number Ro is Unrealistic and Susceptible for Pandemic Mismanagement

Vásquez Edwin Fernando


SARS-CoV-2 2019 pandemic has reached around 9,000,000 infected cases and shortly soon 0.5 million death globally. Data from April and June 2020 indicates an active pandemic with more than 50% increase in New Cases reported/day although reported Deaths/day has decreased around 30% (p<0.05, Data from WHO Situation Reports/COVID-19). In general, for 2019 and previous viral pandemics of the last 100 years Basic Reproductive Number Ro is below 10. Data suggest that such low values of Ro are unrealistic, be in the range of 100–1000 and higher values, and a Systemic Conspiration regarding the matter is stated. Serial Interval SI as per the theoretical considerations of Viral Genome Input, Amount of Viral Genome Input, and Genome Kd/Host Machinery competing Kds might have been miscalculated and be in the range of <24 hours for SARS-CoV-2 a highly infective assembly, SI as here observed is left to further Bioinformatical and Molecular Research. Finally, it is urged measures to lower the Viral load in the Global Environment, preventive measures to ready vaccines and drugs for future natural outbreaks and regulations for reagents and equipment which could automatize Viral Weaponry Research; and caution is suggested for governments which in the path to reach “New Normality” and Normality might risk Low Diversity Immune System and Malnourished Individuals of the Homo sapiens species.


SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, basic reproductive number, pandemic mismanagement, systemic conspiration

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